韩寒的未来 作者:涂涂米

两年前的韩寒着实让我惊讶一番,也困惑一番。
  说到惊 讶,是因为当时的韩寒实在是太拽了。用“拽”这个词来形容韩寒,是因为我搜肠刮肚再也找不出更合适的词来形容他。什么如日中天,牛逼哄哄都不能深刻地表达 其意。就像看到一处美景,用所有的优美词句都不能形容其美,最好只好用了一个“啊”字来形容一样。当时的韩寒就是给我这样的感觉。用这个词语还是受到一位 网友的启发。这位网友在自己的微博里发出感叹:“韩寒,你他M的怎么就那么地拽!”我一直坚信这是对当时韩寒最高的赞赏。
  当时的韩寒能拽到哪 去呢?保守估计已经拽出大气层,拽进外太空了。光是他头顶的那些耀眼的光环就能把你拽晕,什么“当代鲁迅”,“公民韩寒”,什么“世界百位最有影响力的人 物”,”奥黑总统打算亲自召见韩寒“等等。我亲眼见到一位大学教授,在电视里一脸严肃的表情,用深沉的话语说,“就连中国所有的大学教授加在一起,都比不 上一个韩寒”。甚至有不少人做出预言:韩寒将来会成为中国的第一位总统。至于这些人所说的“将来”是什么时候,这些人没有说。20年?30年?还是50 年?但我想一定是在韩寒在世的时候,否则若韩寒去世了,那将是中国的损失,也是世界的损失。中国失去了一位卓越的领导者,而世界则失去了一位影响全球的伟 人。而那一年韩寒才28岁。
  这样的年纪,这样的崇高地位,在中国 历史 上,有吗?
  所以我的困惑也正基于此。韩寒年纪轻轻,还如一坨小鲜肉,却就已经达到如此让人艳羡的高度。那么,他的下一步该怎么走呢?是向着更高吗?还是像股票一样在这个高度一直横盘?如果是更高,那该高到哪去?6300点吗?如果横盘,他又会横多久?一个世纪吗?
  我所知道的大文豪鲁迅的影响力是到了他死后才达到了巅峰的。这样的巅峰是鲁迅穷其一生的资源才得到的。而韩寒呢?难道他的人生巅峰之外还会有另一个更高的人生巅峰吗?或者真的像某些人预言的那样,他的下一个巅峰会是这个未来的大总统吗?
  如今看来我当时的困惑不是多余的。这只所谓的绩优股在被方舟子打了顿后,连横盘都没有做就掉头朝下。这是一次断崖式下跌。几乎没有什么阻挡。
  现在看来,韩寒当时所达到的巅峰只不过是一个被某些集团吹大的泡沫。那通往峰顶的不是一级级的石级,是迷幻的云层。当这个泡沫破灭的时候我们看到原来韩寒依然站在山脚下,依然灰头土脸,却没有了人形。
  今天韩寒成为了一个中国式笑话。但在当时,就是连我这样的大未来学家(别笑话我,自封的)也只是困惑和怀疑他的未来,也没有想到他的下一步该会怎么走。直到今天才清晰地看到他的结局。奥,原来介个样子的啊。
  。
  我还由此悟出了一个道理:当某一个物体,(包含人)当他的上升速度足或高度足以让人们惊讶状的时候,也就是某物体,(或某人)开始掉头朝下的时候。即开始断崖式下跌的时候。有一句话说的好:上帝在,你可以高的过天吗?
  回到正题,韩寒的未来将会怎样?
   说句真心话,如果韩寒的代笔丑闻不被识破,署名韩寒的小说虽不算入流,但杂文一定是数一数二的,他的“公民韩寒”的地位也是无人能撼动的。可如今,当写 作的路子被封堵之后,经过两年地蛰伏,移师到电影,并自以为“找到一生的真爱”(路金波语)。只是,连他的包装师路金波也没有看到,其实这条路将会越走越 窄的。因为稍有常识的人都会知道,就算就算韩寒有能力拍电影,就算以后的电影都是韩寒本人做编导,可是在当今强者如林的电影界,小字辈的韩寒能排到老几 呢?
  十年河东转河西。想当年韩寒一再拿郭敬明开涮,笑话郭敬明身高,笑话郭敬明是个女人。如今才知道,韩寒连女人也不是,他只是个不男不女的被人包装出来的二椰子。
  一个道理是:当一个泡沫破了,人们才发现,呃,他原来什么都不是。

  2015年1月5日 17:57新浪博客

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