再论持久战 作者:哎呀红米

正义或许会迟到,但不会缺席。
三年的倒韩求真,取得了阶段性成果,正如@肖鹰 总结的,第一阶段以方舟子为代表的文本分析,已经确证韩寒代笔;第二阶段以@司马3忌 为代表的有关韩寒萌芽获奖的诉讼,确证韩寒获奖舞弊。现在进入第三阶段。
第三阶段会是个什么状况?方向和重点在哪里?本人抛砖引玉,谈谈自己的看法,希望更多的人参与讨论,集思广益。
一、目前各方的状况
1、韩粉。经历过代笔门、小三门、娱乐门的韩粉阵营,出现三次大的分裂、分化,传统韩粉几乎丧失殆尽,取而代之的是消费韩寒的“岳父粉”。最坚定的韩粉,是那些把“青春梦”寄托在韩寒身上的粉丝,否定了韩寒,就等于否定了他们的过去,粉碎了他们的理想。
2、韩挺。公开为韩寒站台的“公知”、“大V”已经不多,还有一些韩挺蛰伏中择机而动,如奥卡姆剃刀、破破的桥、李剑芒之类,取而代之的是借韩寒“影响力”发财的投机商。最坚定的韩挺,是那些韩寒代言的各类厂商和书商路金波,因为韩寒的形象和他们的经济利益直接挂钩。
3、“韩黑”。胸怀道义渴望真相的草根永远是最坚定的“韩黑”,但是由于审丑疲劳,加上以前的战略在深挖证据,而不在普及推广,路人参与进来的比较少。特别是由于各种势力的“保韩”,倒韩人士的民意诉求一再受挫,久拖不决,影响了士气。
二、发展态势
第一阶段,“方韩大战”,参与人数以百万计,以方舟子为代表的文本分析证据论,以压倒性优势打败了挺韩理论,关于韩寒代笔,初中智商可辩。第二阶段,以司马3忌为代表的行动派,遇到难以预料前所未有的“保韩”阻力,诉讼一再受挫。踏入娱乐圈的韩寒,电影《后会无期》粉丝营销“成功”,催生大量“岳父粉”,挺韩潜流伺机而动,各种为韩寒洗白、“翻盘”的言论开始出现。目前挺韩的依然占据舆论高点,大量的水军依然是其惯用的招数,无耻但是有效,这世上就不缺盲目跟风者。
三、第三阶段的方向和重点
1、战略选择。第一个阶段和第二阶段取得的成果,给我们奠定了很好的理论和法律基础,现在到了广而告之的阶段。我们不缺道义,但是缺少公众参与;我们不能无耻地雇佣水军,但我们可以艺术地表达真相。一句话:第三阶段的战略选择就是小喇叭要开始广播啦~
2、战术选择。拍电影,这是司马3忌们正在做的,窃以为,不但要拍一部,还要留有余味多拍几部。不要局限于纪录大片,喜剧片、讽刺剧、微电影都可以拍。在这个快餐消费的时代,我们不能奢望占用不明真相路人过多的时间。出书,完全可以。看过很多倒韩人士写的系列长篇,稍加整理即可出书。至于是个人还是联名,我觉得有必要走到一起来,座谈商议。讲学,这个肖鹰教授一直在做,希望更多的学者能参与其中。不管哪种方式,个人觉得应该以一针见血启发式的宣传为主,而且微博依然是我们的主战场,不能丢。
四、胜利展望
真相不会被雪藏,正义必胜。感谢韩寒,感谢2000万,人们的求真欲望一旦被点燃,势必星星之火可以燎原,真相不出,倒韩不止。
行动就是力量,坚持就是胜利!

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